Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 230.294257 259.283908 291.392217 329.747953 374.522411 425.381352 487.869033
2025-02-23 182.483334 219.597409 264.271979 322.609857 397.669494 492.228346 622.355203
2025-03-02 162.115181 203.776415 256.773057 330.317790 431.646070 569.267165 775.555959
2025-03-09 144.967418 188.459787 246.222959 330.360490 452.925600 630.169252 916.102719
2025-03-16 129.792419 173.353142 233.261182 324.070616 462.675833 674.164251 1038.050527
2025-03-23 119.697640 163.822909 226.465755 324.980001 482.076376 734.391845 1196.771728
2025-03-30 109.336577 152.701734 215.917897 318.471593 488.260202 773.418408 1326.145547
2025-04-06 101.803071 144.913773 209.354021 317.048786 501.951100 826.453633 1491.924426
2025-04-13 92.366725 133.405460 195.938672 302.879843 491.789790 835.102283 1571.983496
2025-04-20 89.547358 131.769753 197.722344 313.946697 527.107439 933.004344 1860.088085
2025-04-27 87.388170 130.930983 200.604145 327.055210 567.792068 1048.347999 2218.820446
2025-05-04 83.088711 126.278834 196.725173 327.641939 584.560806 1117.786471 2488.862184
2025-05-11 77.563364 119.339219 188.617588 320.047792 584.958280 1154.197404 2691.711857
2025-05-18 72.800613 113.357421 181.710642 314.042412 587.933899 1197.351522 2928.297229
2025-05-25 70.584195 111.502761 181.830816 321.402659 619.888771 1313.649767 3414.909687
2025-06-01 67.470714 107.867808 178.443252 321.454037 635.913017 1394.785033 3826.922511
2025-06-08 63.769548 102.954216 172.336172 315.371046 637.259329 1439.097064 4136.972822
2025-06-15 61.305980 100.071498 169.756697 316.250532 654.782008 1529.616332 4646.811155
2025-06-22 58.121735 95.694113 164.040976 309.956457 654.351509 1571.065801 4994.919467
2025-06-29 55.778538 92.708167 160.769421 308.580377 665.772474 1648.821407 5524.369708
2025-07-06 52.157582 87.172837 152.204817 294.874109 644.520991 1626.323093 5626.917329
2025-07-13 51.548556 87.201441 154.538477 305.579995 687.419396 1808.812601 6735.053392
2025-07-20 51.147387 87.588279 157.599589 318.257181 737.701797 2029.172139 8184.052478